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Red77
791115.8
974218.5
917642.5
Blue101
360336.2
570610.7
721159.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8397406012014077101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+18
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
11Coral scored#15
40Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
58Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +6
10Cage & park16
10Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
77Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9176
#11
42.50.1
33.633.8
Auto3.5
Teleop32.4
End6.6
blue by 16.8
59.30.9
52.253.1
Auto10.4
Teleop39.0
End9.9
Second
9742
#32
18.50.1
22.722.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End2.2
blue by 17.6
3603
#26
36.20.9
26.927.8
Auto4.4
Teleop27.8
End3.9
Third
7911
#40
15.80.1
16.216.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End3.9
red by 5.1
5706
#17
10.70.9
5.56.4
Auto2.5
Teleop6.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned