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Red110
610032.0
975620.9
705437.2
Blue75
924222.9
194013.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9660020408012014016011075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
19Coral scored#11
67Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
91Total teleop56
Reef
8L4#3
5L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
10Cage & park10
10Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
110Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7054
#15
37.21.1
29.430.5
Auto4.6
Teleop26.9
End5.7
red by 14.3
9242
#29
22.90.7
15.616.2
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Second
6100
#30
32.01.1
25.326.3
Auto4.5
Teleop23.0
End4.4
red by 18.6
1940
#37
13.31.1
19.720.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End2.7
Third
9756
#28
20.91.1
15.016.1
Auto2.9
Teleop16.6
End1.4
red by 11.0
9.90.7
8.99.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed