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Red33
432723.1
60058.9
861124.7
Blue53
546221.6
609826.3
191855.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80107501502003353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +25
4Coral scored#9
13Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
17Total teleop42
Reef
1L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
33Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8611
#21
24.72.3
24.722.4
Auto4.4
Teleop18.7
End1.6
blue by 31.0
55.72.2
52.550.2
Auto9.0
Teleop37.2
End9.5
Second
4327
#36
23.12.3
26.524.2
Auto4.3
Teleop18.5
End0.2
blue by 3.2
6098
#16
26.32.2
18.716.4
Auto6.9
Teleop17.8
End1.6
Third
6005
#23
8.92.3
15.913.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.9
End1.1
blue by 12.7
5462
#12
21.62.2
15.413.2
Auto2.9
Teleop16.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsMissed