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Red104
10733.9
483518.8
1042123.6
Blue147
7054.5
975422.4
954831.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8411650100150200104147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+31
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave6
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
12Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +14
18Coral scored#20
66Coral points72
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#6
6Processor points6
16Net points24
22Algae points30
88Total teleop102
Reef
8L4#8
7L3#8
2L2#7
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
104Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#13
33.91.1
32.333.4
Auto6.2
Teleop26.8
End0.9
blue by 20.6
70
#2
54.52.6
51.053.6
Auto13.6
Teleop34.0
End6.9
Second
23.61.1
20.922.0
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End3.8
blue by 7.8
31.42.6
22.725.3
Auto5.3
Teleop17.4
End8.7
Third
4835
#25
18.81.1
14.515.6
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End0.7
blue by 3.6
9754
#24
22.42.6
15.618.2
Auto5.5
Teleop14.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned