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Red115
570610.7
861124.7
553549.6
Blue75
696312.3
432723.1
975620.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8657204010012014016011575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+26Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +20
19Coral scored#13
69Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
87Total teleop67
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#18
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
115Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.62.0
42.844.7
Auto5.7
Teleop32.4
End11.4
red by 26.5
4327
#36
23.10.7
24.225.0
Auto4.3
Teleop18.5
End0.2
Second
8611
#21
24.72.0
22.424.4
Auto4.4
Teleop18.7
End1.6
red by 3.7
9756
#28
20.90.7
16.116.9
Auto2.9
Teleop16.6
End1.4
Third
5706
#17
10.72.0
6.48.4
Auto2.5
Teleop6.9
End1.3
blue by 1.6
6963
#39
12.30.7
11.712.4
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed