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Red112
550556.8
516219.9
721159.3
Blue88
861232.5
609826.3
924222.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1416205010020011288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+16Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
13Coral scored#12
48Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
66Total teleop61
Reef
4L4#7
6L3#2
2L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
26Cage & park18
26Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
112Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.30.1
53.152.9
Auto10.4
Teleop39.0
End9.9
red by 26.8
8612
#34
32.51.8
28.230.0
Auto3.7
Teleop24.2
End4.6
Second
56.80.1
46.846.7
Auto13.0
Teleop34.5
End9.3
red by 30.5
6098
#16
26.31.8
16.418.2
Auto6.9
Teleop17.8
End1.6
Third
5162
#22
19.90.1
14.214.0
Auto4.1
Teleop13.7
End2.1
blue by 3.1
9242
#29
22.91.8
16.218.0
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned6%Barge oddsEarned