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Red60
975422.4
96829.6
922515.3
Blue110
917642.5
546221.6
10733.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369905015060110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+44
Endgame+56
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +41
6Coral scored#18
23Coral points64
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
41Total teleop82
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
6Foul points0
60Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9754
#24
22.40.9
18.219.1
Auto5.5
Teleop14.1
End2.8
blue by 20.1
9176
#11
42.52.0
33.835.7
Auto3.5
Teleop32.4
End6.6
Second
9225
#31
15.30.9
11.212.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.7
blue by 18.6
107
#13
33.92.0
33.435.4
Auto6.2
Teleop26.8
End0.9
Third
9682
#33
9.60.9
11.212.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End0.6
blue by 11.9
5462
#12
21.62.0
13.215.1
Auto2.9
Teleop16.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned