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Red121
400433.4
705437.2
611315.7
Blue145
49463.4
610032.0
483518.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90127406080100140160180200121145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +2
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
15Coral points13
18Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +16
21Coral scored#21
77Coral points75
1Processor algae#4
4Net algae#4
6Processor points24
16Net points16
22Algae points40
99Total teleop115
Reef
9L4#10
8L3#8
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
121Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7054
#15
37.21.6
30.532.1
Auto4.6
Teleop26.9
End5.7
blue by 26.2
494
#1
63.41.5
54.155.7
Auto11.3
Teleop40.8
End11.4
Second
33.41.6
30.131.7
Auto6.7
Teleop18.6
End8.2
red by 1.5
6100
#30
32.01.5
26.327.9
Auto4.5
Teleop23.0
End4.4
Third
6113
#35
15.71.6
11.913.5
Auto3.7
Teleop9.4
End2.6
blue by 3.1
4835
#25
18.81.5
15.617.1
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned