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Qual 342025 FIM District Ferris State Event presented by Ferris State
Red123
1058961.5
972121.8
954831.4
Blue132
828620.7
7054.5
360336.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118118116120122124126130123132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+11
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
2Coral scored#4
11Coral points20
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +8
18Coral scored#15
65Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
6Processor points12
16Net points28
22Algae points40
87Total teleop95
Reef
7L4#9
7L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
123Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10589
#14
61.50.7
51.7→52.4
Auto13.1
Teleop44.7
End3.7
red by 7.0
70
#2
54.51.1
53.6→54.7
Auto13.6
Teleop34.0
End6.9
Second
9548
#8
31.40.7
25.3→26.0
Auto5.3
Teleop17.4
End8.7
blue by 4.8
3603
#26
36.21.1
27.8→29.0
Auto4.4
Teleop27.8
End3.9
Third
9721
#38
21.80.7
23.8→24.6
Auto3.0
Teleop16.2
End2.5
red by 1.0
8286
#18
20.71.1
22.3→23.4
Auto3.5
Teleop15.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned