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Red52
974218.5
570610.7
687737.3
Blue87
550556.8
60058.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768002003004005287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+37
Endgame+37
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +26
4Coral scored#9
14Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
22Total teleop48
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
2Foul points0
52Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.31.1
35.434.4
Auto5.5
Teleop22.8
End9.1
blue by 19.5
56.81.3
46.747.9
Auto13.0
Teleop34.5
End9.3
Second
9742
#32
18.51.1
22.221.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End2.2
red by 8.6
9.91.3
9.010.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End2.0
Third
5706
#17
10.71.1
8.47.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.9
End1.3
red by 1.8
6005
#23
8.91.3
12.113.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned