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Red49
194013.3
483518.8
972121.8
Blue138
360336.2
861124.7
550556.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6011905010015020049138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+75
Endgame+89
Fouls+89
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +65
6Coral scored#19
20Coral points69
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
34Total teleop99
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#5
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#6
11Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +89
0Foul points0
49Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9721
#38
21.81.5
25.524.0
Auto3.0
Teleop16.2
End2.5
blue by 35.0
56.81.6
47.949.6
Auto13.0
Teleop34.5
End9.3
Second
4835
#25
18.81.5
17.015.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End0.7
blue by 17.3
3603
#26
36.21.6
29.931.5
Auto4.4
Teleop27.8
End3.9
Third
1940
#37
13.32.5
18.015.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End2.7
blue by 11.3
8611
#21
24.71.6
24.325.9
Auto4.4
Teleop18.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned