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Red115
432723.1
609826.3
49463.4
Blue50
922515.3
1062217.9
974218.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1295310015020011550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+67Teleop
+65Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave3
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +56
15Coral scored#7
54Coral points24
3Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
18Processor points0
16Net points8
34Algae points8
88Total teleop32
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points0
115Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#1
63.40.7
57.157.9
Auto11.3
Teleop40.8
End11.4
red by 44.9
9742
#32
18.50.1
21.121.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End2.2
Second
6098
#16
26.30.7
21.422.2
Auto6.9
Teleop17.8
End1.6
red by 8.4
17.90.1
17.317.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End2.5
Third
4327
#36
23.10.7
25.326.0
Auto4.3
Teleop18.5
End0.2
red by 7.8
9225
#31
15.30.1
13.513.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed