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Red114
483518.8
924222.9
1058961.5
Blue115
49463.4
60058.9
1042123.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115118050100150200250114115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+3Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points10
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +9
14Coral scored#19
51Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
12Processor points6
28Net points8
40Algae points14
91Total teleop82
Reef
7L4#8
3L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +6
8Cage & park14
8Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
2Foul points0
114Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.50.1
55.855.8
Auto13.1
Teleop44.7
End3.7
blue by 1.9
494
#1
63.40.1
57.957.9
Auto11.3
Teleop40.8
End11.4
Second
9242
#29
22.90.1
18.918.9
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End3.4
blue by 0.7
23.60.1
23.023.0
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End3.8
Third
4835
#25
18.80.1
15.515.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End0.7
red by 9.9
6005
#23
8.90.1
12.312.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned