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Red55
432723.1
975422.4
Blue101
610032.0
716036.0
400433.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681295010015020055101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+22
Endgame+48
Fouls+46
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +22
6Coral scored#14
23Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
37Total teleop59
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +26
4Cage & park30
4Total endgame30
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
2Foul points0
55Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4327
#36
23.10.0
24.424.4
Auto4.3
Teleop18.5
End0.2
blue by 12.9
7160
#19
36.00.4
35.636.0
Auto6.2
Teleop22.6
End7.3
Second
9754
#24
22.40.0
17.217.2
Auto5.5
Teleop14.1
End2.8
blue by 11.0
33.40.4
31.832.2
Auto6.7
Teleop18.6
End8.2
Third
9.90.0
11.111.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End2.0
blue by 22.0
6100
#30
32.00.4
27.828.1
Auto4.5
Teleop23.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsEarned