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Red122
360336.2
664224.1
917642.5
Blue141
49463.4
553549.6
975620.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8714650100200122141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+7
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
17Coral scored#20
60Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
12Processor points12
24Net points16
36Algae points28
96Total teleop99
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#9
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
122Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9176
#11
42.51.9
33.835.7
Auto3.5
Teleop32.4
End6.6
blue by 20.9
494
#1
63.40.5
57.958.4
Auto11.3
Teleop40.8
End11.4
Second
3603
#26
36.21.9
32.534.4
Auto4.4
Teleop27.8
End3.9
blue by 13.5
49.60.5
45.646.0
Auto5.7
Teleop32.4
End11.4
Third
6642
#10
24.11.9
15.817.8
Auto3.9
Teleop18.6
End1.7
red by 3.2
9756
#28
20.90.5
19.419.9
Auto2.9
Teleop16.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned