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Red36
974218.5
194013.3
828620.7
Blue100
611315.7
721159.3
96829.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5992020408010012014016036100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+42
Endgame+52
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points13
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +41
5Coral scored#13
18Coral points45
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
18Total teleop59
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points12
36Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8286
#18
20.71.6
23.121.5
Auto3.5
Teleop15.5
End1.7
blue by 38.6
59.30.4
55.555.9
Auto10.4
Teleop39.0
End9.9
Second
9742
#32
18.51.6
18.917.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End2.2
red by 2.8
6113
#35
15.70.4
11.411.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.4
End2.6
Third
1940
#37
13.32.3
15.112.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End2.7
red by 3.7
9682
#33
9.60.4
12.412.7
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned