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Red117
546221.6
550556.8
687737.3
Blue80
10733.9
1062217.9
705437.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12293608010014016018011780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+23Teleop
+43Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +9
15Coral scored#10
53Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
67Total teleop58
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#2
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#16
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points6
117Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.80.7
50.351.0
Auto13.0
Teleop34.5
End9.3
red by 19.6
7054
#15
37.20.9
33.232.4
Auto4.6
Teleop26.9
End5.7
Second
37.30.7
38.339.0
Auto5.5
Teleop22.8
End9.1
red by 3.4
107
#13
33.90.9
34.934.1
Auto6.2
Teleop26.8
End0.9
Third
5462
#12
21.60.7
18.018.7
Auto2.9
Teleop16.2
End2.4
red by 3.7
17.90.9
18.717.8
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed