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Qual 652025 FIM District Ferris State Event presented by Ferris State
Red125
664224.1
191855.7
974218.5
Blue124
721159.3
975422.4
483518.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10199050150200125124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
4Coral scored#4
19Coral points22
19Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +4
17Coral scored#16
60Coral points58
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
18Processor points12
12Net points16
30Algae points28
90Total teleop86
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#7
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
125Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#6
55.71.8
54.7→56.5
Auto9.0
Teleop37.2
End9.5
blue by 3.7
7211
#3
59.31.7
55.9→57.6
Auto10.4
Teleop39.0
End9.9
Second
6642
#10
24.11.8
17.8→19.5
Auto3.9
Teleop18.6
End1.7
red by 1.7
9754
#24
22.41.7
17.2→19.0
Auto5.5
Teleop14.1
End2.8
Third
9742
#32
18.51.8
17.4→19.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End2.2
blue by 0.3
4835
#25
18.81.7
16.6→18.3
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned