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Red164
610032.0
1058961.5
10733.9
Blue169
553549.6
550556.8
432723.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1471510100200300400500164169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+17Teleop
+1Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points16
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +6
26Coral scored#27
92Coral points98
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
126Total teleop120
Reef
14L4#11
7L3#9
4L2#5
6L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +16
8Cage & park24
8Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points6
164Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.51.3
56.357.6
Auto13.1
Teleop44.7
End3.7
red by 4.7
56.81.1
51.052.1
Auto13.0
Teleop34.5
End9.3
Second
107
#13
33.91.3
34.135.4
Auto6.2
Teleop26.8
End0.9
blue by 15.8
49.61.1
46.047.2
Auto5.7
Teleop32.4
End11.4
Third
6100
#30
32.01.3
28.129.5
Auto4.5
Teleop23.0
End4.4
red by 8.9
4327
#36
23.11.1
24.425.5
Auto4.3
Teleop18.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned