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Red79
96829.6
360336.2
Blue136
1042123.6
7054.5
609826.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6512620408010014016018079136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+47
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points23
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +30
13Coral scored#18
48Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
66Total teleop96
Reef
6L4#12
2L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
79Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3603
#26
36.20.2
34.434.2
Auto4.4
Teleop27.8
End3.9
blue by 18.4
70
#2
54.50.8
55.055.7
Auto13.6
Teleop34.0
End6.9
Second
9.90.2
11.010.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End2.0
blue by 16.4
6098
#16
26.30.8
22.623.3
Auto6.9
Teleop17.8
End1.6
Third
9682
#33
9.60.2
12.712.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End0.6
blue by 14.0
23.60.8
21.021.7
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned