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Red135
917642.5
924222.9
705437.2
Blue51
60058.9
974218.5
972121.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10357020408012014016013551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+68Teleop
+82Endgame
+84Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +68
23Coral scored#8
82Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#3
6Processor points0
20Net points12
26Algae points12
108Total teleop40
Reef
12L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#12
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +84
2Foul points0
135Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9176
#11
42.52.4
35.738.1
Auto3.5
Teleop32.4
End6.6
red by 20.7
9721
#38
21.81.0
23.422.4
Auto3.0
Teleop16.2
End2.5
Second
7054
#15
37.22.4
32.434.8
Auto4.6
Teleop26.9
End5.7
red by 18.7
9742
#32
18.51.0
19.118.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End2.2
Third
9242
#29
22.92.4
17.620.0
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End3.4
red by 14.0
6005
#23
8.91.0
12.811.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed