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Red186
721159.3
49463.4
954831.4
Blue170
550556.8
975422.4
1058961.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168138100120160180200220240186170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+6
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points30
26Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +4
27Coral scored#22
96Coral points80
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#4
12Processor points24
16Net points16
28Algae points40
124Total teleop120
Reef
11L4#10
10L3#10
5L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#36
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
186Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#1
63.41.6
58.860.4
Auto11.3
Teleop40.8
End11.4
red by 1.9
61.51.8
57.659.4
Auto13.1
Teleop44.7
End3.7
Second
59.31.6
57.659.2
Auto10.4
Teleop39.0
End9.9
red by 2.6
56.81.8
52.153.9
Auto13.0
Teleop34.5
End9.3
Third
31.41.6
31.833.4
Auto5.3
Teleop17.4
End8.7
red by 9.0
9754
#24
22.41.8
19.020.8
Auto5.5
Teleop14.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned