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Red67
828620.7
922515.3
432723.1
Blue82
791115.8
483518.8
516219.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions756120401001206782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+7
Endgame+9
Fouls+15
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +7
9Coral scored#11
33Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
47Total teleop54
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points6
67Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4327
#36
23.11.0
25.524.5
Auto4.3
Teleop18.5
End0.2
red by 3.2
5162
#22
19.90.6
18.919.4
Auto4.1
Teleop13.7
End2.1
Second
8286
#18
20.71.0
21.420.4
Auto3.5
Teleop15.5
End1.7
red by 1.9
4835
#25
18.80.6
18.318.9
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End0.7
Third
9225
#31
15.31.0
16.915.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.7
blue by 0.5
7911
#40
15.80.6
15.416.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed