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Red74
954831.4
861232.5
Blue120
400433.4
194013.3
1058961.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5610515020074120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+40
Endgame+48
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +27
9Coral scored#16
33Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
57Total teleop84
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
2Foul points0
74Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8612
#34
32.50.4
23.924.3
Auto3.7
Teleop24.2
End4.6
blue by 29.0
61.51.4
46.648.0
Auto13.1
Teleop44.7
End3.7
Second
31.40.4
22.222.6
Auto5.3
Teleop17.4
End8.7
blue by 2.1
33.41.4
23.925.2
Auto6.7
Teleop18.6
End8.2
Third
9.90.4
9.39.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End2.0
blue by 3.4
1940
#37
13.32.3
17.720.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned