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Red62
570610.7
1062217.9
716036.0
Blue83
705437.2
546221.6
861124.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions497902040601001201401606283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+29
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +26
9Coral scored#13
32Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
42Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#18
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
62Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7160
#19
36.01.0
29.630.6
Auto6.2
Teleop22.6
End7.3
blue by 1.2
7054
#15
37.21.1
28.729.7
Auto4.6
Teleop26.9
End5.7
Second
17.91.0
12.513.6
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End2.5
blue by 6.8
8611
#21
24.71.1
24.425.4
Auto4.4
Teleop18.7
End1.6
Third
5706
#17
10.71.0
4.45.5
Auto2.5
Teleop6.9
End1.3
blue by 10.8
5462
#12
21.61.1
13.914.9
Auto2.9
Teleop16.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed