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Red138
609826.3
721159.3
828620.7
Blue74
975422.4
975620.9
1042123.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10554015013874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+66Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +62
21Coral scored#10
76Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
108Total teleop46
Reef
7L4#5
8L3#4
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
138Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.32.7
48.050.7
Auto10.4
Teleop39.0
End9.9
red by 35.7
23.60.9
18.519.4
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End3.8
Second
6098
#16
26.32.7
17.119.8
Auto6.9
Teleop17.8
End1.6
red by 3.9
9754
#24
22.40.9
14.215.1
Auto5.5
Teleop14.1
End2.8
Third
8286
#18
20.72.7
18.120.9
Auto3.5
Teleop15.5
End1.7
blue by 0.2
9756
#28
20.90.9
13.013.9
Auto2.9
Teleop16.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned