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Red70
483518.8
400433.4
546221.6
Blue100
1058961.5
609826.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7610820406010012014016018070100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+40
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points21
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +22
8Coral scored#14
30Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
44Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#8
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
70Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.1
31.931.8
Auto6.7
Teleop18.6
End8.2
blue by 28.0
61.50.2
59.459.5
Auto13.1
Teleop44.7
End3.7
Second
5462
#12
21.60.1
20.019.9
Auto2.9
Teleop16.2
End2.4
blue by 4.7
6098
#16
26.30.2
25.525.7
Auto6.9
Teleop17.8
End1.6
Third
4835
#25
18.80.1
18.918.8
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End0.7
red by 8.9
9.90.2
9.89.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed