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Red125
550556.8
1042123.6
570610.7
Blue93
922515.3
194013.3
553549.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10494608012014016012593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+40Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +29
19Coral scored#11
68Coral points39
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
96Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#6
10L3#4
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
125Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.80.9
53.954.8
Auto13.0
Teleop34.5
End9.3
red by 7.1
49.60.6
48.648.0
Auto5.7
Teleop32.4
End11.4
Second
23.60.9
20.721.6
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End3.8
red by 8.3
9225
#31
15.30.6
15.915.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.7
Third
5706
#17
10.70.9
9.810.7
Auto2.5
Teleop6.9
End1.3
blue by 2.6
1940
#37
13.30.7
14.013.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned