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Red103
975422.4
705437.2
664224.1
Blue52
432723.1
687737.3
96829.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87845010015020010352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+47Teleop
+49Endgame
+51Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +47
13Coral scored#4
45Coral points16
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
73Total teleop26
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
2Foul points0
103Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7054
#15
37.21.6
34.836.4
Auto4.6
Teleop26.9
End5.7
blue by 0.1
37.31.4
38.036.5
Auto5.5
Teleop22.8
End9.1
Second
6642
#10
24.11.6
20.922.5
Auto3.9
Teleop18.6
End1.7
red by 1.0
4327
#36
23.11.4
24.523.1
Auto4.3
Teleop18.5
End0.2
Third
9754
#24
22.41.6
20.822.4
Auto5.5
Teleop14.1
End2.8
red by 12.8
9682
#33
9.61.4
11.19.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsEarned