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Red83
721159.3
60058.9
1062217.9
Blue47
791115.8
696312.3
954831.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10670501508347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+34Teleop
+30Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
8Coral scored#4
28Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
46Total teleop18
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +4
16Cage & park20
16Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
6Foul points0
83Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.31.4
59.257.9
Auto10.4
Teleop39.0
End9.9
red by 27.9
31.41.6
33.431.7
Auto5.3
Teleop17.4
End8.7
Second
17.91.4
19.317.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End2.5
red by 2.1
7911
#40
15.81.6
16.014.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End3.9
Third
6005
#23
8.91.4
10.38.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.9
End1.1
blue by 3.4
6963
#39
12.31.6
14.012.3
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned