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Red147
191855.7
791115.8
721159.3
Blue119
861232.5
553549.6
400433.4
68%Model gave it32%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14112250100150200147119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+29Auto
+34Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +29
9Leave9
7Coral scored#1
35Coral points6
44Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +5
14Coral scored#15
49Coral points54
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
83Total teleop78
Reef
10L4#5
5L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +6
20Cage & park26
20Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
147Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.30.4
58.859.2
Auto10.4
Teleop39.0
End9.9
red by 9.7
49.60.1
49.549.6
Auto5.7
Teleop32.4
End11.4
Second
55.70.4
55.255.6
Auto9.0
Teleop37.2
End9.5
red by 22.2
33.40.1
33.433.4
Auto6.7
Teleop18.6
End8.2
Third
7911
#40
15.80.4
15.315.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End3.9
blue by 16.7
8612
#34
32.50.1
32.432.5
Auto3.7
Teleop24.2
End4.6