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Red119
49463.4
7054.5
924222.9
Blue145
1058961.5
1042123.6
550556.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160167120140180200220119145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+30
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +20
16Coral scored#19
58Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
80Total teleop100
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#7
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#6
24Game pieces#31
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
119Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#1
63.40.4
61.561.2
Auto11.3
Teleop40.8
End11.4
red by 1.9
61.50.1
60.760.8
Auto13.1
Teleop44.7
End3.7
Second
70
#2
54.50.4
52.752.3
Auto13.6
Teleop34.0
End6.9
blue by 2.3
56.80.1
55.956.1
Auto13.0
Teleop34.5
End9.3
Third
9242
#29
22.90.4
21.120.7
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End3.4
blue by 0.7
23.60.1
22.822.9
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End3.8