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Red131
191855.7
791115.8
721159.3
Blue59
360336.2
10733.9
716036.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14511510020013159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+50Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +46
19Coral scored#7
68Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
82Total teleop36
Reef
10L4#3
4L3#3
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#11
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
131Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.30.0
58.858.8
Auto10.4
Teleop39.0
End9.9
red by 23.2
3603
#26
36.21.1
37.336.2
Auto4.4
Teleop27.8
End3.9
Second
55.70.0
55.155.2
Auto9.0
Teleop37.2
End9.5
red by 19.6
7160
#19
36.01.1
37.236.0
Auto6.2
Teleop22.6
End7.3
Third
7911
#40
15.80.0
15.315.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End3.9
blue by 18.0
107
#13
33.91.1
35.033.9
Auto6.2
Teleop26.8
End0.9