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Red164
861232.5
553549.6
400433.4
Blue121
664224.1
610032.0
546221.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1459150200164121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+23Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
25Coral scored#21
89Coral points76
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
18Processor points18
16Net points12
34Algae points30
123Total teleop106
Reef
9L4#5
10L3#9
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#28
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
164Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.7
48.949.5
Auto5.7
Teleop32.4
End11.4
red by 17.7
6100
#30
32.00.5
31.532.0
Auto4.5
Teleop23.0
End4.4
Second
33.40.7
32.733.4
Auto6.7
Teleop18.6
End8.2
red by 9.3
6642
#10
24.10.5
23.724.1
Auto3.9
Teleop18.6
End1.7
Third
8612
#34
32.50.7
31.832.4
Auto3.7
Teleop24.2
End4.6
red by 10.9
5462
#12
21.60.5
21.121.6
Auto2.9
Teleop16.2
End2.4