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Red131
191855.7
791115.8
721159.3
Blue157
1058961.5
1042123.6
550556.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155167120140160180200131157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+10
Endgame+20
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points37
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +4
15Coral scored#16
54Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
86Total teleop82
Reef
6L4#7
7L3#8
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +26
6Foul points12
131Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.30.1
58.958.8
Auto10.4
Teleop39.0
End9.9
blue by 2.2
61.50.1
60.560.7
Auto13.1
Teleop44.7
End3.7
Second
55.70.1
55.255.1
Auto9.0
Teleop37.2
End9.5
blue by 1.1
56.80.1
55.855.9
Auto13.0
Teleop34.5
End9.3
Third
7911
#40
15.80.1
15.415.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End3.9
blue by 7.8
23.60.1
22.622.8
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End3.8