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Red159
49463.4
7054.5
924222.9
Blue122
360336.2
10733.9
716036.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1521166080100140160180200220159122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+23Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave3
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +5
19Coral scored#19
69Coral points70
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
99Total teleop94
Reef
7L4#8
9L3#7
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#26
BargeRed +14
30Cage & park16
30Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
159Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#1
63.40.6
60.661.2
Auto11.3
Teleop40.8
End11.4
red by 27.2
3603
#26
36.20.3
37.037.3
Auto4.4
Teleop27.8
End3.9
Second
70
#2
54.50.6
51.752.3
Auto13.6
Teleop34.0
End6.9
red by 18.5
7160
#19
36.00.3
36.837.1
Auto6.2
Teleop22.6
End7.3
Third
9242
#29
22.90.6
20.120.7
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End3.4
blue by 10.9
107
#13
33.90.3
34.735.0
Auto6.2
Teleop26.8
End0.9