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Red150
861232.5
553549.6
400433.4
Blue98
954831.4
917642.5
861124.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211095010015020015098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+26Teleop
+46Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points6
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +23
15Coral scored#13
55Coral points46
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
93Total teleop70
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#19
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +52
6Foul points0
150Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.6
48.048.6
Auto5.7
Teleop32.4
End11.4
red by 7.1
9176
#11
42.50.2
42.942.7
Auto3.5
Teleop32.4
End6.6
Second
33.40.6
31.832.5
Auto6.7
Teleop18.6
End8.2
red by 2.1
31.40.2
31.731.6
Auto5.3
Teleop17.4
End8.7
Third
8612
#34
32.50.6
30.931.5
Auto3.7
Teleop24.2
End4.6
red by 7.8
8611
#21
24.70.2
25.024.9
Auto4.4
Teleop18.7
End1.6