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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128126100110120140150160170119153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+20
Endgame+30
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +9
9Leave3
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points36
30Total auto39
TeleoperatedBlue +11
19Coral scored#19
67Coral points70
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
81Total teleop92
Reef
10L4#7
5L3#10
3L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +34
2Foul points6
119Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.30.1
47.247.3
Auto10.0
Teleop36.5
End0.9
red by 0.5
46.80.7
46.046.8
Auto10.8
Teleop35.2
End0.7
Second
302
#17
45.70.1
45.645.7
Auto15.1
Teleop29.6
End1.0
blue by 0.8
46.50.7
45.746.5
Auto8.9
Teleop31.5
End6.1
Third
5234
#29
18.50.1
18.418.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 4.2
5559
#21
22.70.7
22.022.7
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.2