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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127125100110120140150160170144139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+5Teleop
Endgame+1
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
6Coral scored#7
31Coral points33
40Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +1
17Coral scored#16
62Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
88Total teleop87
Reef
11L4#12
6L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +6
10Cage & park16
10Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +5
6Foul points0
144Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.30.6
46.547.2
Auto10.0
Teleop36.5
End0.9
red by 0.5
46.80.6
45.446.0
Auto10.8
Teleop35.2
End0.7
Second
302
#17
45.70.6
44.945.6
Auto15.1
Teleop29.6
End1.0
blue by 0.8
46.50.6
45.145.7
Auto8.9
Teleop31.5
End6.1
Third
5234
#29
18.50.6
17.718.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 4.2
5559
#21
22.70.6
21.422.0
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.2