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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291279010011012014015016017090119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+17
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave0
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points19
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +33
8Coral scored#17
29Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
51Total teleop84
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points12
90Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.30.5
47.046.5
Auto10.0
Teleop36.5
End0.9
red by 0.5
46.80.1
45.545.4
Auto10.8
Teleop35.2
End0.7
Second
302
#17
45.70.5
45.444.9
Auto15.1
Teleop29.6
End1.0
blue by 0.8
46.50.1
45.345.1
Auto8.9
Teleop31.5
End6.1
Third
5234
#29
18.50.5
18.217.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 4.2
5559
#21
22.70.1
21.521.4
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.2