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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12013750100150200131109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points14
22Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +23
16Coral scored#13
57Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
12Processor points6
24Net points16
36Algae points22
93Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#6
6L3#3
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
131Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.80.4
45.145.5
Auto10.8
Teleop35.2
End0.7
blue by 11.4
58.10.4
58.558.1
Auto10.4
Teleop37.8
End9.9
Second
46.50.4
44.845.3
Auto8.9
Teleop31.5
End6.1
blue by 4.7
51.20.4
51.551.2
Auto11.8
Teleop32.0
End7.3
Third
5559
#21
22.70.4
21.021.5
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.2
red by 6.8
830
#23
15.90.4
16.315.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.1
End2.0