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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10713450150200123134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+9
Endgame+17
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +2
15Coral scored#18
54Coral points66
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
78Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#8
3L3#7
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +11
6Foul points0
123Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.2
49.449.6
Auto17.1
Teleop30.7
End1.9
blue by 8.5
58.10.2
58.358.5
Auto10.4
Teleop37.8
End9.9
Second
548
#3
37.80.2
37.637.8
Auto4.1
Teleop27.6
End6.1
blue by 13.4
51.20.2
51.451.5
Auto11.8
Teleop32.0
End7.3
Third
9183
#32
20.10.2
19.920.1
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End3.1
red by 4.2
830
#23
15.90.2
16.116.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.1
End2.0