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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13212280100140160180200101165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+72
Endgame+64
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave3
3Coral scored#6
15Coral points30
15Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +54
14Coral scored#23
52Coral points84
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#4
6Processor points24
12Net points16
18Algae points40
70Total teleop124
Reef
5L4#11
4L3#11
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#37
BargeRed +8
16Cage & park8
16Total endgame8
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points0
101Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.80.5
45.645.1
Auto10.8
Teleop35.2
End0.7
blue by 0.5
47.31.0
45.947.0
Auto10.0
Teleop36.5
End0.9
Second
46.50.5
45.344.8
Auto8.9
Teleop31.5
End6.1
red by 0.8
302
#17
45.71.0
44.345.4
Auto15.1
Teleop29.6
End1.0
Third
5559
#21
22.70.5
21.621.0
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.2
red by 4.2
5234
#29
18.51.0
17.118.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0