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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11883406010014016018013059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+61Teleop
+53Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points16
33Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +47
14Coral scored#4
49Coral points16
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
73Total teleop26
Reef
9L4#3
4L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +71
18Foul points0
130Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.1
49.349.4
Auto17.1
Teleop30.7
End1.9
red by 12.2
7501
#11
37.40.5
37.937.4
Auto5.9
Teleop24.5
End7.0
Second
548
#3
37.80.1
37.437.6
Auto4.1
Teleop27.6
End6.1
red by 15.3
22.50.5
22.922.5
Auto4.7
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Third
9183
#32
20.10.1
19.819.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End3.1
red by 1.7
8423
#22
18.50.5
18.918.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.3
End2.6