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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10590406080120140160109127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+4
Endgame+16
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +13
9Leave3
2Coral scored#5
8Coral points27
17Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +9
17Coral scored#16
60Coral points57
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
90Total teleop81
Reef
6L4#10
5L3#4
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points2
109Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.80.8
39.239.9
Auto10.8
Teleop35.2
End0.7
red by 0.3
46.52.4
28.831.2
Auto8.9
Teleop31.5
End6.1
Second
5144
#18
32.40.8
26.026.7
Auto3.5
Teleop27.3
End1.6
blue by 13.3
302
#17
45.72.4
32.735.2
Auto15.1
Teleop29.6
End1.0
Third
830
#23
15.91.3
20.922.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.1
End2.0
red by 6.8
9239
#30
9.14.0
16.020.0
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned