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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95836010012014011496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+2
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +5
14Coral scored#11
52Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
12Processor points6
8Net points20
20Algae points26
72Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#21
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
114Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#3
37.82.0
28.430.4
Auto4.1
Teleop27.6
End6.1
blue by 20.3
58.11.3
53.054.3
Auto10.4
Teleop37.8
End9.9
Second
7501
#11
37.42.0
33.435.4
Auto5.9
Teleop24.5
End7.0
red by 17.3
9183
#32
20.11.3
14.215.5
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End3.1
Third
7289
#27
24.53.3
22.826.1
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End2.3
red by 6.3
9703
#33
18.21.3
9.210.5
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsMissed