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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738520406010012014091109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+2Teleop
Endgame+6
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points34
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +16
14Coral scored#8
52Coral points30
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#4
6Processor points0
4Net points16
10Algae points16
62Total teleop46
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points12
91Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.61.6
39.741.3
Auto17.1
Teleop30.7
End1.9
red by 3.9
302
#17
45.71.4
34.135.5
Auto15.1
Teleop29.6
End1.0
Second
9210
#15
23.22.6
18.421.0
Auto5.8
Teleop15.2
End2.1
blue by 11.2
503
#12
34.41.4
25.126.5
Auto8.2
Teleop22.1
End4.1
Third
7597
#35
14.81.6
9.310.9
Auto3.0
Teleop9.2
End2.5
blue by 0.3
5225
#31
15.12.3
17.419.6
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned