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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4256020801001205339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+12Teleop
+2Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +13
5Coral scored#3
19Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
25Total teleop12
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
12Foul points0
53Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.0
12.612.6
Auto4.7
Teleop16.4
End1.3
blue by 1.2
8300
#14
23.70.8
20.019.3
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End1.2
Second
13.60.0
15.915.9
Auto0.9
Teleop11.1
End1.6
blue by 4.9
8423
#22
18.50.8
20.519.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.3
End2.6
Third
8519
#26
12.80.0
12.812.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.6
red by 1.5
6556
#37
11.31.3
10.18.8
Auto1.0
Teleop7.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned