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Qual 192025 FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation
Red75
520515.7
102551.2
722110.2
Blue97
83015.9
421620.4
102347.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64892040801001207597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+22
Endgame+10
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +16
9Coral scored#12
34Coral points42
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
46Total teleop62
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points12
75Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1025
#5
51.21.0
35.5→36.5
Auto11.8
Teleop32.0
End7.3
red by 3.9
1023
#2
47.30.5
40.1→40.6
Auto10.0
Teleop36.5
End0.9
Second
5205
#36
15.71.6
13.2→14.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End2.2
blue by 4.7
4216
#20
20.40.5
15.0→15.4
Auto3.0
Teleop15.3
End2.1
Third
7221
#39
10.21.0
11.6→12.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End3.0
blue by 5.7
830
#23
15.90.8
23.0→23.8
Auto3.7
Teleop10.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed