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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60900501001509281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+23
Endgame+1
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points19
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +16
8Coral scored#9
28Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
42Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#18
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
12Foul points0
92Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.11.6
25.627.2
Auto5.6
Teleop18.5
End7.0
blue by 15.4
46.50.2
33.433.6
Auto8.9
Teleop31.5
End6.1
Second
7656
#10
24.72.7
13.315.9
Auto4.2
Teleop13.7
End6.9
blue by 13.6
2960
#13
38.40.4
31.932.3
Auto6.1
Teleop26.8
End5.5
Third
23.52.7
17.119.8
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End4.2
red by 8.2
8374
#40
15.30.4
12.012.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed